We Got this Wrong – Lessons From the Mid Terms

No red wave occurred in yesterday’s midterm elections.

Let’s be honest: Republicans failed.

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While still being in a position to win the House, they didn’t capitalize on the momentum they looked to have heading into the midterms.

Dems exhaled a big sigh of relief.

Bottom line: Joe Biden had a great night, but Donald Trump had a terrible one.

Why?

Disastrous Details…

Here are five conclusions from a midterms election that the public polls, in contrast to two years ago, mostly correctly predicted: If, as anticipated, Trump decides to run for the presidency again, he will be the overwhelming favorite to secure the Republican primary.

However, after Tuesday, Trump’s standing in the GOP is far worse. Truth be told, the GOP’s night might have been much better if it wasn’t for the previous president’s involvement.

Just take a look at how the individuals who were closest to Trump performed in places where more establishment Republicans were also running.

Herschel Walker as well as Warnock, a liberal, were close in Georgia. Gov. Brian Kemp comfortably beat Stacey Abrams, a liberal who enraged President Trump with his opposition to annulling the 2020 election results.

Conservative Don Bolduc was defeated by Sen. Hassan in New Hampshire in a contest that didn’t really appear competitive, but Gov. Chris Sununu, who previously called Trump “f***ing nuts,” easily won the victory.

J.D. Vance, the preferred candidate of Trump in Ohio, fared better, defeating Democratic Senator Tim Ryan by a sizable majority in the election for the U.S. Senate in that region. But he fell well short of the margin achieved by more conservative Republican Gov. Mike DeWine.

This Should Have Been Easy

It was slightly early to call earlier in Arizona, with only approximately half of the anticipated votes cast. However, Katie Hobbs and Republican Kari Lake were just about neck and neck.

Even if Lake wins, the outcome will be nearer than what political experts from both parties had projected if a more conservative Republican, Karrin Robson, had prevailed.

Chuck Coughlin, a seasoned Political consultant headquartered in Phoenix, remarked that the election should have been a “piece of cake” but instead was a very disappointing situation.

He’s right.

According to Coughlin this election is biased against the White House and the ruling party. That won’t be the case during an election campaign. Trump no longer benefits from such support.

The State governor of Florida, Ron DeSantis, who might challenge Trump for the White House, was reelected by a margin of 20 points. Trump won the state by slightly over three percentage points in 2020.

Given that Democrats’ chances on Tuesday appear to be far better than predicted, it’s feasible that some Democrats may support Biden. Third terms were won by presidents who endured significantly worse midterms.

This article appeared in The Patriot Brief and has been published here with permission.

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